2022 · Pacific invasion & IPM
Global potential distribution of Oryctes rhinoceros, as predicted by Boosted Regression Tree model
Mengmeng Hao, Owusu Fordjour Aidoo, Yushu Qian, Di Wang, Fangyu Ding, Tian Ma, Elizabeth Tettey, Kodwo Dadzie Ninsin, Angelina Fathia Osabutey, Christian Borgemeister
CRB research
What the paper covers
Combines occurrence records, bioclimatic variables and elevation in a boosted regression tree model to estimate potential CRB habitat. It compares present suitability with two climate scenarios for 2030, 2050 and 2080, providing a basis for discussing surveillance priorities.
Read it in context
Modeled suitability is not observed presence or a forecast of arrival. This global study is not a Hawaii-specific horizon scan, a land-use-change analysis, or a formal mainland US pest-risk assessment.
The original publication
Publication details and scope verified against the original publication. Full text remains at the source where local redistribution is not confirmed.
Read the original paperSources & reading notes
Reviewed October 22, 2026. Aloha Organic summaries draw on the sources below.